HOT TRADING STRATEGIES FOR A COLD MARKET
Daily Stock Market Equity and Options Trading Commentary

Saturday, June 26, 2010

Russell Reconstitution 2010 Entire List of Changes

Hey guys sorry it's been a while since I've posted anything. I have been extremely busy. Here is a (long) list of companies which were rebalanced during the Russell Reconstitution yesterday. I have split the list into two categories; additions and deletions from the index. If you were wondering about the huge volume spike on these names, this will explain it.

Added to the Index

Company Symbol Sector



1ST UNITED BANCORP INC FUBC Financial Services
A H BELO CORP AHC Consumer Discretionary
ABRAXAS PETE CORP AXAS Energy
ACCENTURE PLC IRELAND ACN Producer Durables
ACCRETIVE HEALTH INC AH Health Care
ACE LTD ACE Financial Services
ALCON INC ACL Health Care
ALEXZA PHARMACEUTICALS ALXA Health Care
ALIMERA SCIENCES INC ALIM Health Care
ALPHA & OMEGA SEMICON AOSL Technology
AMERICAN DG ENERGY INC ADGE Utilities
AMERICAN OIL & GAS INC AEZ Energy
ANTARES PHARMA INC AIS Health Care
ANTHERA PHARMACEUTICALS ANTH Health Care
AOXING PHARMACEUTICAL CO AXN Health Care
APPLIED ENERGETICS INC AERG Producer Durables
ARCTIC CAT INC ACAT Consumer Discretionary
ARLINGTON ASSET INVT AI Financial Services
ARTHROCARE CORP ARTC Health Care
ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC AZPN Technology
ASPENBIO PHARMA INC APPY Health Care
ASTA FDG INC ASFI Financial Services
AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES LTD AVGO Technology
AVEO PHARMACEUTICALS INC AVEO Health Care
AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC ACLS Technology
AXT INC AXTI Technology
BALLANTYNE STRONG INC BTN Producer Durables
BALTIC TRADING LIMITED BALT Producer Durables
BARRY R G CORP OHIO DFZ Consumer Discretionary
BEASLEY BROADCAST GROUP BBGI Consumer Discretionary
BELL MICROPRODUCTS INC BELM Technology
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC BRK.B Financial Services
BIOSANTE PHARMACEUTICALS BPAX Health Care
BIOTIME INC BTIM Health Care
BOFI HLDG INC BOFI Financial Services
BON-TON STORES INC BONT Consumer Discretionary
BRIDGFORD FOODS CORP BRID Consumer Staples
CALIPER LIFE SCIENCES CALP Health Care
CALIX INC CALX Technology
CALLON PETROLEUM CO CPE Energy
CAMAC ENERGY INC CAK Energy
CAMBIUM LEARNING GRP INC ABCD Consumer Discretionary
CAPITAL GOLD CORP CGC Materials & Processing
CAPSTONE TURBINE CORP CPST Energy
CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS CWST Consumer Discretionary
CASUAL MALE RETAIL GROUP CMRG Consumer Discretionary
CDC CORP CHINA Technology
CENTER FINANCIAL CORP CLFC Financial Services
CERUS CORP CERS Health Care
CHATHAM LODGING TR CLDT Financial Services
CHICAGO BRIDGE & IRON CBI Producer Durables
CIT GROUP INC CIT Financial Services
CNH GLOBAL N V CNH Producer Durables
CODEXIS INC CDXS Health Care
COLEMAN CABLE INC CCIX Producer Durables
COMBINATORX INC CRXX Health Care
COMMERCIAL VEH GROUP INC CVGI Producer Durables
COMPX INTERNATIONAL CIX Materials & Processing
CONEXANT SYSTEMS INC CNXT Technology
CONVIO INC CNVO Technology
COOPER INDUSTRIES PLC CBE Producer Durables
CORCEPT THERAPEUTICS INC CORT Health Care
CORE LABORATORIES N V CLB Energy
COVIDIEN PLC COV Health Care
CULP INC CFI Materials & Processing
CUMULUS MEDIA INC CMLS Consumer Discretionary
CYTRX CORP CYTR Health Care
DELTA APPAREL INC DLA Consumer Discretionary
DEX ONE CORP DEXO Consumer Discretionary
DIGIMARC CORPORATION DMRC Technology
DISCOVERY COMMUNICATNS DISCA Consumer Discretionary
DOUGLAS DYNAMICS INC PLOW Producer Durables
DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES DVAX Health Care
DYNAVOX INC DVOX Technology
EMPIRE RESORTS INC NYNY Consumer Discretionary
ENCORE BANCSHARES INC EBTX Financial Services
ENERGY PARTNERS LTD EPL Energy
ENERGY XXI (BERMUDA) LTD EXXI Energy
ENTERCOM COMMUNICATIONS ETM Consumer Discretionary
ENTRAVISION COMM EVC Consumer Discretionary
EURAND N V EURX Health Care
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP EPM Energy
EXACT SCIENCES CORP EXAS Health Care
EXCEL MARITIME CARRIERS EXM Producer Durables
EXCEL TR INC EXL Financial Services
EXPRESS INC EXPR Consumer Discretionary
FEDERAL AGRIC MTG CO AGM Financial Services
FIBERTOWER CORP FTWR Utilities
FINANCIAL ENGINES INC FNGN Financial Services
FINISAR CORP FNSR Technology
FIRST INTST BANCSYSTEM FIBK Financial Services
FIVE STAR QUALITY CARE FVE Health Care
FSI INTL INC FSII Technology
GASTAR EXPL LTD GST Energy
GENERAL GROWTH PPTYS INC GGP Financial Services
GEORGIA GULF CORP GGC Materials & Processing
GERBER SCIENTIFIC INC GRB Producer Durables
GERDAU AMERISTEEL CORP GNA Materials & Processing
GEROVA FINANCIAL GROUP GFC Financial Services
GLOBAL GEOPHYSICAL SVCS GGS Energy
GLOBALSTAR INC GSAT Utilities
GLOBE SPECIALTY METALS GSM Materials & Processing
GOLDEN STAR RES LTD CDA GSS Materials & Processing
GOLUB CAP BDC INC GBDC Financial Services
GRAY TELEVISION INC GTN Consumer Discretionary
GREEN BANKSHARES INC GRNB Financial Services
GUIDANCE SOFTWARE INC GUID Technology
HALLADOR ENERGY CO HNRG Energy
HANMI FINANCIAL CORP HAFC Financial Services
HEALTHTRONICS INC HTRN Health Care
HFF INC HF Financial Services
HOKU CORPORATION HOKU Energy
HOUSTON AMERICAN ENERGY HUSA Energy
HUDSON HIGHLAND GROUP HHGP Producer Durables
HUDSON VALLEY HOLDING HUVL Financial Services
HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY HTCH Technology
HYPERCOM CORP HYC Technology
ICO GLOBAL COMM HLDGS ICOG Utilities
IDT CORP IDT Utilities
IKANOS COMMUNICATIONS IKAN Technology
INGERSOLL-RAND PLC IR Producer Durables
INHIBITEX INC INHX Health Care
INOVIO PHARMACEUTICALS INO Health Care
INTEGRATED SILICON S ISSI Technology
IRIDIUM COMMUNICATIONS IRDM Utilities
JAGUAR MNG INC JAG Materials & Processing
JAMBA INC JMBA Consumer Discretionary
JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS INC JAZZ Health Care
JOES JEANS INC JOEZ Consumer Discretionary
JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC JOUT Consumer Discretionary
KEITHLEY INSTRS INC KEI Producer Durables
KENNEDY-WILSON HLDGS INC KW Financial Services
KERYX BIOPHARMACEUTICALS KERX Health Care
KID BRANDS INC KID Consumer Discretionary
KIT DIGITAL INC KITD Technology
KMG CHEMICALS INC KMGB Materials & Processing
KODIAK OIL & GAS CORP KOG Energy
KRATOS DEFENSE & SEC SOL KTOS Producer Durables
L & L ENERGY INC LLEN Energy
LACROSSE FOOTWEAR INC BOOT Consumer Discretionary
LADENBURG THALMAN FIN LTS Financial Services
LEAR CORP LEA Consumer Discretionary
LECG CORP XPRT Producer Durables
LEE ENTERPRISES INC LEE Consumer Discretionary
LIBBEY INC LBY Consumer Discretionary
LIFETIME BRANDS INC LCUT Consumer Discretionary
LIMONEIRA CO LMNR Consumer Staples
LIONS GATE ENTMNT CORP LGF Consumer Discretionary
LOCAL COM CORP LOCM Technology
LTX-CREDENCE CORP LTXC Technology
LYDALL INC LDL Producer Durables
MAGMA DESIGN AUTOMATION LAVA Technology
MAGNUM HUNTER RES CORP MHR Energy
MARINEMAX INC HZO Consumer Discretionary
MARLIN BUSINESS SVCS MRLN Producer Durables
MATTSON TECHNOLOGY INC MTSN Technology
MAXLINEAR INC MXL Technology
MCCLATCHY CO MNI Consumer Discretionary
MEDIA GENERAL INC MEG Consumer Discretionary
MERU NETWORKS INC MERU Technology
METALS USA HLDGS CORP MUSA Materials & Processing
MGP INGREDIENTS INC MGPI Consumer Staples
MIDWESTONE FINL GROUP MOFG Financial Services
MILLER PETE INC MILL Energy
MINDSPEED TECHNOLOGIES MSPD Technology
MOSYS INC MOSY Technology
MPG OFFICE TRUST INC MPG Financial Services
NANOMETRICS INC NANO Technology
NATIONAL AMERN UNIV NAUH Consumer Discretionary
NATURES SUNSHINE PRODS NATR Consumer Staples
NEOSTEM INC NBS Health Care
NETWORK ENGINES INC NENG Technology
NEURALSTEM INC CUR Health Care
NEWCASTLE INVT CORP NCT Financial Services
NEXSTAR BROADCASTING GRP NXST Consumer Discretionary
NORANDA ALUM HLDG CORP NOR Materials & Processing
NYMOX PHARMACEUTICAL NYMX Health Care
OCCAM NETWORKS INC OCNW Technology
OCLARO INC OCLR Technology
ONE LIBERTY PROPERTIES OLP Financial Services
P A M TRANSN SVCS INC PTSI Producer Durables
PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORP PKOH Producer Durables
PDF SOLUTIONS INC PDFS Technology
PDI INC PDII Producer Durables
PEREGRINE PHARMA INC PPHM Health Care
PGT INC PGTI Materials & Processing
PHARMACYCLICS INC PCYC Health Care
PILGRIMS PRIDE CORP NEW PPC Consumer Staples
PINNACLE AIRL CORP PNCL Producer Durables
PRESSTEK INC PRST Producer Durables
PRIMERICA INC PRI Financial Services
PROSPECT MEDICAL HLDGS PZZ Health Care
PURE BIOSCIENCE PURE Health Care
QUALITY DISTRIBUTION INC QLTY Producer Durables
RADIO ONE INC ROIAK Consumer Discretionary
RAM ENERGY RESOURCES INC RAME Energy
REACHLOCAL INC RLOC Consumer Discretionary
RENTECH INC RTK Materials & Processing
RESOLUTE ENERGY CORP REN Energy
RETAIL OPPORTUNITY INVTS ROIC Financial Services
RICHARDSON ELECTRONICS RELL Technology
ROADRUNNER TRNSN SVCS RRTS Producer Durables
RODMAN & RENSHAW CAP GP RODM Financial Services
RURAL/METRO CORP RURL Health Care
SANFILIPPO JOHN B & SON JBSS Consumer Staples
SANMINA SCI CORP SANM Technology
SCORPIO TANKERS INC STNG Producer Durables
SELECT COMFORT CORP SCSS Consumer Discretionary
SENOMYX INC SNMX Materials & Processing
SENORX INC SENO Health Care
SHILOH INDUSTRIES INC SHLO Materials & Processing
SIRIUS XM RADIO INC SIRI Consumer Discretionary
SOLTA MEDICAL INC SLTM Health Care
SOMAXON PHARMACEUTICALS SOMX Health Care
SONIC SOLUTIONS SNIC Technology
SPANSION INC CODE Technology
SPECTRUM BRANDS HOLDINGS SPB Consumer Staples
SPS COMM INC SPSC Technology
SS&C TECHNOLOGIES HLDGS SSNC Technology
STAAR SURGICAL CO STAA Health Care
STREAM GLOBAL SVCS INC SGS Producer Durables
SUMMER INFANT INC SUMR Consumer Discretionary
SUPERMEDIA INC SPMD Consumer Discretionary
SXC HEALTH SOLUTIONS SXCI Health Care
SYNERON MEDICAL LTD ELOS Health Care
TARGACEPT INC TRGT Health Care
TAYLOR CAPITAL GROUP INC TAYC Financial Services
TELENAV INC TNAV Technology
TESCO CORP TESO Energy
TESSCO TECHNOLOGIES INC TESS Technology
THERMADYNE HLDGS CORP THMD Producer Durables
THL CR INC TCRD Financial Services
THOMAS PROPERTIES GROUP TPGI Financial Services
THOMPSON CREEK METALS TC Materials & Processing
THOMSON REUTERS CORP TRI Financial Services
TPC GROUP INC TPCG Materials & Processing
TRANSATLANTIC PETROLEUM TAT Energy
TRANSCEPT PHARM INC TSPT Health Care
TWO HBRS INVT CORP TWO Financial Services
TYCO INTERNATIONAL LTD TYC Producer Durables
U S ENERGY CORP USEG Materials & Processing
ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS INC UCTT Technology
ULTRA PETROLEUM CORP UPL Energy
UNILIFE CORP NEW UNIS Health Care
UQM TECHNOLOGIES INC UQM Producer Durables
VERSO PAPER CORP VRS Materials & Processing
VIASYSTEMS GROUP INC VIAS Technology
VIRGINIA COMM BANCORP VCBI Financial Services
VIRNETX HOLDING CORP VHC Technology
VISTAPRINT N V VPRT Consumer Discretionary
VONAGE HLDGS CORP VG Utilities
WABASH NATIONAL CORP WNC Producer Durables
WARNER CHILCOTT PLC WCRX Health Care
WAVE SYSTEMS CORP WAVX Technology
WEATHERFORD INTL WFT Energy
WEST COAST BANCORP WCBO Financial Services
WESTWOOD ONE INC WWON Consumer Discretionary
WINMARK CORP WINA Consumer Discretionary
XERIUM TECHNOLOGIES INC XRM Producer Durables
XYRATEX LTD XRTX Technology
ZIOPHARM ONCOLOGY INC ZIOP Health Care

Deleted from the index

Company Symbol Sector



ACTIVIDENTITY CORP ACTI Technology
ADOLOR CORP ADLR Health Care
AGFEED INDUSTRIES INC FEED Consumer Staples
AMERICAN CARESOURCE HLDG ANCI Health Care
AMERICAN DAIRY INC ADY Consumer Staples
AMERICAN ORIENTAL BIOENG AOB Health Care
AMERICAN REALTY INVESTOR ARL Financial Services
AMICUS THERAPEUTICS INC FOLD Health Care
AMPAL AMERICAN ISRAEL AMPL Financial Services
AMREP CORP AXR Consumer Discretionary
ARYX THERAPEUTICS INC ARYX Health Care
ASCENT SOLAR TECH INC ASTI Energy
ASIAINFO HOLDINGS INC ASIA Technology
AUBURN NATL BANCORP AUBN Financial Services
BANK KY FINL CORP BKYF Financial Services
BANNER CORP BANR Financial Services
BAR HBR BANKSHARES BHB Financial Services
BENIHANA INC BNHNA Consumer Discretionary
BIODELIVERY SCIENCES BDSI Health Care
BOLT TECHNOLOGY CORP BOLT Energy
BOVIE MEDICAL CORP BVX Health Care
BRONCO DRILLING CO INC BRNC Energy
BROOKLYN FEDERAL BANCORP BFSB Financial Services
CALLIDUS SOFTWARE INC CALD Technology
CAPE BANCORP INC CBNJ Financial Services
CARDIAC SCIENCE CORP CSCX Health Care
CARDIOVASCULAR SYS INC CSII Health Care
CARDIUM THERAPEUTICS INC CXM Health Care
CELL THERAPEUTICS INC CTIC Health Care
CENTER BANCORP INC CNBC Financial Services
CENTRAL PACIFIC FINL CPF Financial Services
CHASE CORP CCF Materials & Processing
CHEVIOT FINANCIAL CORP CHEV Financial Services
CHICOPEE BANCORP INC CBNK Financial Services
CHINA AUTOMOTIVE SYSTEMS CAAS Consumer Discretionary
CHINA BAK BATTERY INC CBAK Producer Durables
CHINA FIRE & SEC GROUP CFSG Producer Durables
CHINA GREEN AGRICULTURE CGA Consumer Staples
CHINA HOUSING & LAND DEV CHLN Financial Services
CHINA INFORMATION SEC CPBY Technology
CHINA PRECISION STEEL CPSL Materials & Processing
CHINA SEC & SURVE TECH CSR Producer Durables
CHINA SKY ONE MED INC CSKI Health Care
CHINA TRANSINFO TECHNLGY CTFO Technology
CHINA-BIOTICS INC CHBT Consumer Staples
CHINACAST EDU CORP CAST Consumer Discretionary
CITIZENS HLDG CO MISS CIZN Financial Services
COGO GROUP INC COGO Technology
COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS JCS Technology
CREDO PETROLEUM CORP CRED Energy
CTC MEDIA INC CTCM Consumer Discretionary
CUBIC ENERGY INC QBC Energy
DISCOVERY COMMUNICATIONS DISCK Consumer Discretionary
DISCOVERY LABORATORIES DSCO Health Care
DOVER DOWNS GAMING & ENT DDE Consumer Discretionary
DUOYUAN PRINTING INC DYP Producer Durables
DYNAMICS RESEARCH CORP DRCO Technology
EASTERN CO EML Materials & Processing
EASTERN INSURANCE HLDGS EIHI Financial Services
ELOYALTY CORP ELOY Technology
EMCORE CORP EMKR Technology
ENGLOBAL CORP ENG Producer Durables
ENTEROMEDICS INC ETRM Health Care
ENTERPRISE BANCORP INC EBTC Financial Services
EVERGREEN ENERGY INC EEE Energy
FARMERS CAPITAL BK CORP FFKT Financial Services
FIRST ACCEPTANCE CORP FAC Financial Services
FIRST CALIFORNIA FINL GR FCAL Financial Services
FIRST DEFIANCE FINANCIAL FDEF Financial Services
FIRST FINL NORTHWEST FFNW Financial Services
FIRST FINL SVC CORP FFKY Financial Services
FRISCHS RESTAURANTS INC FRS Consumer Discretionary
FUQI INTERNATIONAL INC FUQI Consumer Discretionary
FUSHI COPPERWELD INC FSIN Materials & Processing
GENERAL STEEL HOLDINGS GSI Materials & Processing
GEOKINETICS INC GOK Energy
GRAMERCY CAPITAL CORP GKK Financial Services
GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC GTE Energy
GREAT WOLF RESORTS INC WOLF Consumer Discretionary
GSE SYS INC GVP Technology
GTX INC GTXI Health Care
GUARANTY BANCORP GBNK Financial Services
HAMPTON ROADS BANKSHARES HMPR Financial Services
HARBIN ELECTRIC INC HRBN Producer Durables
HARVARD BIOSCIENCE INC HBIO Health Care
HEMISPHERX BIOPHARMA INC HEB Health Care
HERITAGE CRYL CLEAN INC HCCI Producer Durables
HICKORY TECH CORP HTCO Utilities
HQ SUSTAINABLE MARITIM HQS Consumer Staples
HURCO COMPANIES INC HURC Producer Durables
IDERA PHARMACEUTICALS IDRA Health Care
IMERGENT INC IIG Technology
INCONTACT INC SAAS Utilities
INDEPENDENCE HOLDING CO IHC Financial Services
INFORMATION SERVICES GRP III Financial Services
INNODATA ISOGEN INC INOD Producer Durables
INNOSPEC INC IOSP Materials & Processing
INSMED INC INSM Health Care
INTEGRATED ELECTRICAL SV IESC Producer Durables
IPASS INC IPAS Consumer Discretionary
ISTA PHARMACEUTICALS INC ISTA Health Care
JACKSON HEWITT TAX SVC JTX Consumer Discretionary
JAVELIN PHARMACEUTICALS JAV Health Care
K V PHARMACEUTICAL CO KV.A Health Care
KENTUCKY FIRST FEDERAL KFFB Financial Services
KOHLBERG CAPITAL CORP KCAP Financial Services
LAKES ENTERTAINMENT INC LACO Consumer Discretionary
LEGACY BANCORP INC LEGC Financial Services
LIHUA INTERNATIONAL INC LIWA Producer Durables
LUBYS INC LUB Consumer Discretionary
LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC LULU Consumer Discretionary
MANNATECH INC MTEX Consumer Staples
MATRIXX INITIATIVES INC MTXX Health Care
MEMSIC INC MEMS Technology
MERCADOLIBRE INC MELI Consumer Discretionary
MERCER INS GROUP INC MIGP Financial Services
MOLECULAR INSIGHT PHARMA MIPI Health Care
MYRIAD PHARMA INC MYRX Health Care
NESS TECHNOLOGIES INC NSTC Technology
NET 1 UEPS TECHNOLOGIES UEPS Financial Services
NIGHTHAWK RADIOLOGY HLDG NHWK Health Care
NIVS INTELLIMEDIA TECH NIV Consumer Discretionary
NOBEL LEARNING CMNTYS NLCI Consumer Discretionary
NORTHEAST CMNTY BANCORP NECB Financial Services
NORTHRIM BANCORP INC NRIM Financial Services
NORWOOD FINANCIAL CORP NWFL Financial Services
NOVAMED INC NOVAD Health Care
ODYSSEY MARINE EXPLOR OMEX Producer Durables
OHIO VY BANC CORP OVBC Financial Services
OILSANDS QUEST INC BQI Energy
OLD POINT FINL CORP OPOF Financial Services
OLD SECOND BANCORP INC OSBC Financial Services
OMEGA PROTEIN CORP OME Consumer Staples
ONCOGENEX PHARMAS INC OGXI Health Care
ORCHIDS PAPER PRODS COMP TIS Consumer Staples
ORION ENERGY SYSTEMS INC OESX Materials & Processing
OVERHILL FARMS INC OFI Consumer Staples
OXIGENE INC OXGN Health Care
PACIFIC CAPITAL BANCORP PCBC Financial Services
PAR TECHNOLOGY CORP PTC Technology
PARAMOUNT GOLD & SILVER PZG Materials & Processing
PARKERVISION INC PRKR Technology
PC MALL INC MALL Technology
PENNICHUCK CORP PNNW Utilities
PEOPLES FINL CORP MISS PFBX Financial Services
PERMA-FIX ENVIRONMENTAL PESI Producer Durables
PERVASIVE SOFTWARE INC PVSW Technology
PHOENIX TECHNOLOGIES LTD PTEC Technology
PONIARD PHARMA INC PARD Health Care
PORTEC RAIL PRODUCTS INC PRPX Producer Durables
PREMIERWEST BANCORP PRWT Financial Services
PRIMEENERGY CORP PNRG Energy
PROTALIX BIOTHERAPEUTICS PLX Health Care
PRUDENTIAL BANCORP INC PBIP Financial Services
QC HOLDINGS INC QCCO Financial Services
RADNET INC RDNT Health Care
RAE SYSTEMS INC RAE Producer Durables
RASER TECHNOLOGIES INC RZ Energy
READING INTERNATIONAL RDI Consumer Discretionary
REPLIGEN CORP RGEN Health Care
REPROS THERAPEUTICS INC RPRX Health Care
REPUBLIC FIRST BANCORP FRBK Financial Services
RESOURCE AMERICA INC REXI Financial Services
REWARDS NETWORK INC DINE Financial Services
ROCKWELL MEDICAL TECH RMTI Health Care
SHENGDA TECH INC SDTH Materials & Processing
SHORE BANCSHARES INC SHBI Financial Services
SMARTHEAT INC HEAT Producer Durables
SMITHTOWN BANCORP INC SMTB Financial Services
SOHU COM INC SOHU Technology
SOUTH FINANCIAL GROUP TSFG Financial Services
STANLEY FURNITURE CO INC STLY Consumer Discretionary
STARTEK INC SRT Producer Durables
STERLING FINL CORP WA STSA Financial Services
SULPHCO INC SUF Energy
SUN BANCORP INC NJ SNBC Financial Services
SUREWEST COMMUNICATIONS SURW Utilities
SUTOR TECH GROUP LTD SUTR Materials & Processing
SYMS CORP SYMS Consumer Discretionary
TGC INDUSTRIES INC TGE Energy
TODD SHIPYARDS CORP TOD Producer Durables
TOREADOR RESOURCES CORP TRGL Energy
TOWN SPORTS INTL CLUB Consumer Discretionary
TRANS1 INC TSON Health Care
TRANSCONTINENTAL REALTY TCI Financial Services
TREE.COM INC TREE Financial Services
U S GEOTHERMAL INC HTM Energy
U S GLOBAL INVS INC GROW Financial Services
ULTRALIFE CORPORATION ULBI Producer Durables
UNITED SECURITY BANC INC USBI Financial Services
UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP UTA Consumer Discretionary
URANERZ ENERGY CORP URZ Materials & Processing
UTAH MED PRODS INC UTMD Health Care
VALENCE TECHNOLOGY INC VLNC Producer Durables
VALHI INC VHI Materials & Processing
WEB.COM GROUP INC WWWW Technology
WESTMORELAND COAL CO WLB Energy
WILBER CORP GIW Financial Services
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE WLFC Producer Durables
WONDER AUTO TECH INC WATG Consumer Discretionary
YADKIN VALLEY FINL CORP YAVY Financial Services
YRC WORLDWIDE INC YRCW Producer Durables
ZALE CORP ZLC Consumer Discretionary
ZHONGPIN INC HOGS Consumer Staples
ZION OIL & GAS INC ZN Energy
Sphere: Related Content

Monday, May 24, 2010

Time for A Technical Bounce? Time for A Bullish Option Strategy

Good morning traders, I wanted to take a minute and give you my thoughts on the market. Overall I was very satisfied with Friday's price action and I strongly believe NOW the market is due for a rally. Below you will see some charts, which will support my belief.

First up, we'll take a look at the PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQQ). The candle pattern here is what is known as a piercing pattern and usually signals a bullish reversal. Some key things to note on this chart are: volume on Friday took out the volume Thursday, and the QQQQ ended up closing back above the 200 day moving average.

Click chart to enlarge
Next up is the Dow Jones Industrial Average SPDR ETF (DIA). This chart is almost identical to that of the Q's as it formed the same bullish candle pattern, volume Friday took out Thursday's, and it closed above its 200 day moving average. However another thing to note is that the DIA traded within a quarter of the "Flash Crash" lows before bouncing.

Click chart to enlarge
Now for the last of the major index ETF's, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY). As with the other two index ETF's outlined above, this also formed the same bullish piercing pattern, however it did not take out the previous days volume nor could it close above the 200 day moving average. One very interesting thing to note is that the ETF bounced after touching the February closing lows. You can see this on the chart with the Fibonacci retracement lines drawn in blue. We can see the ETF retraced 100% of the move from February 8 close to April 28 close and bounced off of the lowest line.

Click chart to enlarge
It's also important to note that I also believe volatility will come in (or trade lower). To most investor's or trader's it is common sense that as the market rallies, fear or volatility trades lower - which is true. So, the chart below of the volatility index [VIX] will also help support my belief. Unlike those bullish piercing patterns on the ETF's outlined above, the candle pattern which has emerged on the Volatility Index [VIX] is a very bearish pattern. The candle pattern which has emerged on this chart is what is known as a bearish engulfing.

Click chart to enlarge
How I'm playing this potential reversal
After looking at hundreds of charts over the weekend, I put together an option strategy using the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). I chose the XLF for two reasons, the main reason being that the XLF formed the most bullish chart pattern of the major SPDR ETF's I analyzed, and the other reason being that implied volatility is highest in this ETF and if overall market volatility decreases as I expect it to, this should greatly benefit my strategy, as I will be net short volatility. Before you read the strategy outlined below you will need to have knowledge of stock options. To learn more about the option strategies outlined in this post, risks, pricing, calculations, other strategies, and options in general, check out my e-books heres..

Click chart to enlarge
XLF Option Strategy:
Using the September options expiration, I am looking at selling 14 strike put options for a credit of $115 per contract (meaning I receive $115 cash for each contract sold), with the premium received I will then look to open September vertical call spreads by purchasing September 16 call options and selling September 17 call options against them (one for one) for around $35 per call spread. Note I am choosing to sell the September 17 calls only because volatility is so high and I do not want to overpay for call option premiums. However if one is very bullish a higher strike call could be sold or none at all. Based on theoretical prices as of market close Friday May 21, 2010 this entire strategy can be filled for a net credit of $80.

Profit & Loss: My maximum loss using current data is $1320 per custom spread, and that is if the XLF trades and closes on September options expiration at 0 [zero] per share, highly unlikely. This strategy will return the net credit of $80 if shares of the XLF close above 14 but below 16 come September options expiration. If the ETF trades higher and come September options expiration shares of the XLF are at or above 17, the call side of this strategy will return an additional $65 or 186% (less commissions). This strategy will break even as long as the XLF closes and expires above 13.20 per share on September options expiration.

The ideas outlined above are bullish strategies and should not be considered if you think the ETF will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the ETF could move higher in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain. Selling puts "naked" is a very risky strategy and should not be considered with stocks one does not plan or want to hold long in their portfolio. To get a better understanding of stock options and different option strategies please check out my Simplified Stock Option Trading E-Books.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

The reason option volumes have surged in the last five years is because they are a great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your shares (see chart here). Keep in mind when using this strategy it is essential that broker commissions are low enough to profit from the position.

I must state that one thing which makes me skeptical of a coming rally is the fact that so many individual stocks and ETF's have such OBVIOUS bullish potential reversal chart patterns. And as many of you know, the more obvious they are, the less likely they are to work. Also, it is very important to note before I get into the option position outlined above I need to see a follow through of Friday's action. From a technical standpoint I believe we are due for a bounce, however as we all know anything can happen... Happy trading.

Disclosure: No Positions Sphere: Related Content

Friday, May 21, 2010

Potential Reversal in the Works?

Traders, I am showing you a quick chart of the S&P SPDR (SPY). We opened near the February closing lows retracing 100% of the move. Now we need to reverse higher and a close above 108.46 on the SPY would be short term bullish and would signal a potential reversal. Of course the day is far from over, and I need to see volume take out the 647 million shares traded on the "flash crash" day, but at very least Thursday's volume. Below is the chart I have as of 10 AM.

Today will be extremely volatile and I don't underestimate a 500 point range! Keep in mind that close is king and the level to watch on the SPY is 108.46. A Similar level on the QQQQ is 44.76, but it did not test February closing lows at open. Sphere: Related Content

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Why Investor's Should Make Friends with Fear

In this post I will give some advice on why I believe investor's should become friends with fear, and explain how it can be done using stock options. I'm certain many of you already know how the markets gauge fear, but for those of you who don't, a simple way to see how fearful the markets are is an indicator called the Volatility Index [VIX]. The entry symbol to track the VIX is different in almost every brokerage I use, so a sure and easy way to track it is the Ipath S&P 500 VIX Short Term ETN (VXX).

Historically anything above 30 on the Volatility Index is high and signals increased levels of fear in the markets, but for those tracking market volatility using the VXX it looks to be the 24-25 level.

So why should investor's make friends with fear? First it is very important to note that fear is friendly only to an investor which is well educated in stock options. Why? A major factor in pricing an option premium (or contract price) is volatility. Keeping all other things constant, higher volatility = higher premium. This means investor's can sell premiums to cost average down a position, or what I like doing in times of market correction... Selling "naked puts" to get into shares I don't mind owning.

With the VIX soaring to new 52 week highs in the past week, I have been selling premiums on out of the money options on stocks which I wouldn't mind owning. I do have to note that in my last post How I'm Buying Into the Market Correction I closed almost all of the positions the following trading day which was Monday May 10, 2010, even after stating I had sold the puts as an investment and not a trade, but a move of 400+ on the Dow signaled TAKE PROFITS and easy ones were taken. With just 2 trading days left until May options expire there is still some "juice" left in many stocks which I wouldn't mind owning if they were put to me Friday. Below is a list of stocks I am looking at selling puts on, the strike prices, and the per contract premium I would receive as of close Wednesday May 19, 2010.

Company/ETF Ticker Strike Premium Adjusted Price





SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) 100 $20 $99.80
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 107 $24 $106.76
PowerShares QQQ Trust, ETF (QQQQ) 44 $8 $43.92
United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO) 33 $33 $32.67
Financial SPDR ETF (XLF) 14 $4 $13.96
Technology SPDR ETF (XLK) 21 $5 $20.95
SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) 48 $30 $47.70
Apple Inc. (AAPL) 230 $20 $229.80
American Express Company (AXP) 39 $30 $38.70
Bank of America Corporation (BAC) 15 $4 $14.96
Citigroup Inc. (C) * 3 $4 $2.96
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) 57.5 $26 $57.24
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) 24 $18 $23.82
Ford Motor Company (F) 11 $7 $10.93
General Electric Company (GE) 17 $13 $16.87
Corning Incorporated (GLW) 17 $11 $16.89
Google Inc. (GOOG) 460 $40 $459.60
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) 130 $25 $129.75
Intel Corporation (INTC) 21 $10 $20.90
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) 50 $4 $49.96
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) 15 $3 $14.97
QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM) 35 $10 $34.90
Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) * 1 $5 $0.95
Visa Inc. (V) 70 $72 $69.28

*Indicates June options expiration.

Before selling any puts naked, I always make sure I have enough cash to purchase the shares. I won't be in any rush to sell premiums Thursday because as of 2 AM (EST) futures are slightly under pressure, but once I get the feel of the market I will begin selling premiums on many of the stocks/ETFs outlined in the table above. It is also possible (and likely with the high volatility) that I will be adjusting strike prices according to the market.

The ideas outlined above are bullish strategies and should not be considered if you think the stock will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the stock could move higher or slightly lower in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain. Selling puts "naked" is a very risky strategy and should not be considered with stocks one does not plan or want to hold long in their portfolio. To get a better understanding of stock options and different option strategies please check out my Simplified Stock Option Trading E-Books.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

The reason option volumes have surged in the last five years is because they are a great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your shares (see chart here). Keep in mind when using this strategy it is essential that broker commissions are low enough to profit from the position.

In conclusion I wanted to briefly explain to investor's that something good can be made of fear. Remember fear or volatility brings increased option premiums, therefore if shares fall and are put to an investor on May options expiration, volatility will likely increase or stay the same and option premiums will still be high for June options expiration. Therefore June call options can be written against the shares to sell them at a specific price for an increased option premium as well... But that's an article for another day.

Disclosure: Long BAC, C, F, QCOM, V, GOOG January 300 Calls, Short SIRI June 1 Puts

Sphere: Related Content

Monday, May 10, 2010

How I'm Buying Into the Market Correction

A wise man once said "be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful" and this can't be more true in the world of derivatives. When fear or Volatility increases in the market, option premiums soar and easy money can be made. In this post I will explain how I am taking advantage of the increased levels of fear in the market to make some money. First, I'll give a quick fact... The S&P 500 is down about 9% from the high on April 26, and the Volatility Index (VIX) has soared almost 240% in that same period. As I stated money can easily be made selling option premium, but it can also be lost just as easy. However I'm a bit more conservative and I choose to sell put options 5% - 10% lower on stocks or market ETF's I'm willing to take shares of. This is the reason I hold a ton of cash on the sidelines at all times so I can take the shares if I am wrong without going into margin. I began selling put options on stocks and ETF's I am willing to take shares of on Friday, after realizing the SPY bounced off of the 200 day moving average. I mainly sold put options on companies which have been beaten up after good earnings, but also sold put options on a few of my favorite companies. I have put (no pun intended) together a short list of stocks below which I have sold puts on, or will be selling puts on in the week ahead for the May options expiration. The data below is as of market close Friday May 7, 2010.

Company/ETF Ticker Strike Premium Adjusted Price
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) 99 $150 97.50
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 106 $190 104.10
PowerShares QQQ Trust, ETF (QQQQ) 43 $73 42.27
United States Oil Fund LP ETF (USO) 35 $76 34.24
SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME) 49 $135 47.65
Apple Inc. (AAPL) 210 $240 207.60
American Express Company (AXP) 37 $67 36.33
Bank of America Corporation (BAC) 15 $40 14.60
Citigroup Inc. (C) 3 $2 2.98
Ford Motor Company (F) 11 $34 10.66
General Electric Company (GE) 15 $21 14.79
Corning Incorporated (GLW) 16 $21 15.79
Google Inc. (GOOG) 450 $410 445.90
QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM) 33 $25 32.75
Visa Inc. (V) 75 $55 74.45

The ideas outlined above are bullish strategies and should not be considered if you think the stock will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the stock could move higher or slightly lower in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain. Selling puts "naked" is a very risky strategy and should not be considered with stocks one does not plan or want to hold long in their portfolio. To get a better understanding of stock options and different option strategies please check out my Simplified Stock Option Trading E-Books.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

The reason option volumes have surged in the last five years is because they are a great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your shares (see chart here). Keep in mind when using this strategy it is essential that broker commissions are low enough to profit from the position.

Disclosure: Short May AAPL 220 Put Options, AXP 38 Put Options, BAC 16 Put Options, F 12 & 13 Put Options, GLW 16 & 18 Put Options, GOOG 450 & 510 Put Options, QCOM 36 & 38 Put Options, V 75 Put Options, XME 50 Put Options

Sphere: Related Content

Sunday, May 2, 2010

How I'm Playing Qualcomm

I know it's been a while since I've posted on my blog, but I have been extremely busy with my business. However, I wanted to write a quick post about Qualcomm (QCOM), as I am very confident about an option strategy which I will detail later in this post. First I will note that in my early days as an investor I got BURNED buying shares of Qualcomm and vowed never to purchase or play the stock ever again. It was close to the turn of the new millennium and Qualcomm was really heating up, hitting new highs daily, so I had to jump on the bandwagon. But as we all know nothing lasts forever and "down she came" in the first 6 months of 2000. I didn't jump ship though hoping it would come back, after all many of my other stocks were picking up the slack. But again, nothing lasts forever and the entire market underwent the tech bubble burst. Between Qualcomm and a few other high flying tech stocks such as Corning (GLW) my portfolio dropped over 90% from the peak in 2000 to year end 2001. A painful lesson, but one of the most valuable lessons I've ever learned. Enough about the past though, time to look at the present.

As stated I vowed never to play Qualcomm again, but a lot changes in ten years and a company can go from highly speculative to highly valuable, and in my opinion Qualcomm is highly valuable, and has become even more valuable after selling off over 10% since earnings. I would like to accumulate shares of QCOM on weakness not only because they are presently a smart, safe, and sound company, but looking to the future projected earnings put a forward PE of around 15 on this company, not to mention if and when a device similar to the iPhone from Apple (AAPL) comes to Verizon (VZ), Qualcomm will benefit greatly.

Click chart to enlarge
However I do not want to catch a falling knife because I feel more downside is likely, especially if the market heads lower. It is also worth noting that QCOM formed a bearish engulfing candle pattern on Friday, a potential signal of short-term weakness in the stock, which makes the following option strategy all the more attractive.

Qualcomm Option Strategies: First I'll state that this option strategy may strike you as bearish, and it is, but just for a short time (which is the reason I stated it will benefit from the bearish candle pattern short-term). Overall it is bullish as I am willing to take shares of the stock if it reaches a certain price. I am currently looking to open positions on both the May and June options expiration (half of my desired shares for each expiration). It looks like Qualcomm is trying to form a base around 38 per share, so I will use that as my first level of support. Additional levels of support come in around 37 and 35.50.

May Expiration Strategy: I will structure a ratio put spread using these levels of support. First I'll look to purchase May 38 strike put option contracts, and against each of these contracts I am long, I will sell two May 37 strike put option contracts. This can all be done for a theoretical net credit of $8. This means I receive $8 cash for every one of these positions I am long. For example, If I am willing to get long 500 shares of Qualcomm, I will purchase 5 of the May 38 put contracts, and sell 10 of the May 37 put contracts.

May P&L Info: If Qualcomm closes at or above 38 per share on May options expiration (May 21, 2010) and assuming this strategy is left open, this strategy will return the net credit of $8 per position (less any commissions). If Qualcomm closes at or below 37 per share at expiration and assuming the strategy is left open, this strategy will be profitable down to the break even point of 35.92 per share, but will result in purchasing 100 shares of Qualcomm at 37 for each ratio spread position. The profit max for this strategy at expiration is shares of Qualcomm at exactly 37 per share, which would result in a profit of $108 per ratio position.

June Expiration Strategy: I will employ the same option strategy but slightly different strike prices. I will look to purchase June 37 put contracts and sell two June 36 put contracts against each contract I am long. I decided to structure the June option strategy for a slight lower entry level in case Qualcomm sells off beyond our lowest level of support listed, not to mention I don't like entering shares of any stock all at once (or for the same price). This strategy can be done for a theoretical net credit of $39 per spread.

June P&L Info: If Qualcomm closes at or above 37 per share on June options expiration (June 18, 2010) and assuming this strategy is left open, this strategy will return the net credit of $39 per position (less any commissions). If Qualcomm closes at or below 36 per share at expiration and assuming the strategy is left open, this strategy will be profitable down to the break even point of 34.61 per share, but will result in purchasing 100 shares of Qualcomm at 36 for each ratio spread position. The profit max for this strategy at expiration is shares of Qualcomm at 36 per share, which would result in a profit of $139 per ratio position.

The ideas outlined above are bullish strategies and should not be considered if you think the stock will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the stock could move higher in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain. To get a better understanding of stock options and different option strategies please check out my Simplified Stock Option Trading E-Books.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

The reason option volumes have surged in the last five years is because they are a great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your shares (see chart here). Keep in mind when using this strategy it is essential that broker commissions are low enough to profit from the position.

Disclosure: Long AAPL May 220 Put Options, GLW May 19 Put Options, QCOM, Short AAPL May 230 Put Options, GLW May 20 Put Options

Sphere: Related Content

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Monday's Hot Stocks on Heavier Volume

Today's breakout report is for Monday April 5, 2010. If this is your first time reading one of my breakout reports you'll want to read the section below, however if you are familiar with my daily breakout report you should skip ahead to the list of stocks.

To reiterate previous blog posts like this, the first thing I do is scan the list for familiar names, such as stocks I am quite familiar with or ones which have appeared on similar scans multiple times in the past week or two (most of these names are unfamiliar so it saves a lot of time). This indicates there may be some real momentum behind the stock, and that it could trade higher/lower in following sessions as well. Then (if and when any of the stocks I find are familiar to me), I make sure the stock has options available to trade, and then take a look at the chart(s) to see if I can structure a potential option trade. The list in this post includes 22 stocks which traded higher on heavier volume, and 3 stocks which traded lower on heavier volume Monday April 4, 2010. Many times I find an option strategy I plan on opening if I am convinced some money can be made.

The tables below show the company, ticker, per share % increase, and volume increase (% increased compared to 50 day average). The first table is a list of potential bullish stocks, the second table is a list of potential bearish stocks. For your convenience I have ranked both tables in order from greatest to least volume % change.

Breakout Bull


Company Ticker Price Change Volume Change
GeoMet, Inc. (GMET) 20.44% 1460.55%
Symyx Technologies, Inc. (SMMX) 22.15% 676.45%
Antares Pharma, Inc. (AIS) 4.58% 663.89%
POZEN Inc. (POZN) 8.93% 523.40%
GeoResources, Inc. (GEOI) 8.62% 521.70%
Anooraq Resources Corporation (ANO) 6.45% 484.42%
CARDIOME PHARMA CORP (CRME) 7.70% 470.69%
Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) 18.54% 407.07%
Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS) 7.07% 385.59%
Overstock.com, Inc. (OSTK) 10.53% 366.65%
Cerus Corporation (CERS) 14.84% 309.17%
Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS) 7.83% 297.00%
Eastman Kodak Company (EK) 13.19% 292.16%
KMG Chemicals, Inc. (KMGB) 8.05% 283.07%
AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) 7.05% 194.38%
Joe's Jeans Inc. (JOEZ) 11.31% 191.86%
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) 10.54% 183.33%
First BanCorp. (FBP) 14.35% 181.19%
Cree, Inc. (CREE) 9.96% 169.51%
Ruth's Hospitality Group, Inc. (RUTH) 8.82% 164.60%
Aixtron (AIXG) 4.47% 134.76%
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) 9.11% 109.31%




Breakout Bear


Company Ticker Price Change Volume Change
Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS) -4.12% 302.06%
Global Payments Inc. (GPN) -2.08% 104.51%
Lindsay Corporation (LNN) -3.49% 101.79%


From the bullish list of stocks above, one stock which has had some serious momentum lately is KMG Chemicals, Inc. (KMGB). I caught nearly a double in this stock almost three years ago, when many chemical stocks were near their all time highs. As we know most of these stocks including KMGB came crashing back down to earth, however KMGB has been on a tear the last week, and it is starting to remind me of summer 2007. Although I usually write an option strategy on stocks I am bullish on, I will not be able to today, because KMGB is not an optionable stock, however I did not want to pass up the opportunity to let my readers know about this potential bullish breakout. As always I will first give a summary of KMGB from Google Finance and a 6 month daily chart below.


KMG Chemicals, Inc. manufacture, formulate and globally distribute specialty chemicals. The Company has acquired and operates segments engaged in the electronic chemicals, industrial wood preserving and animal health businesses. The electronic chemicals segment provides wet process chemicals to the semiconductor industry, primarily to clean and etch silicon wafers in the production of semiconductors. The Company is a supplier of wet process chemicals to the semiconductor industry in the United States, and has presence in Europe. The Company’s wood preserving chemicals, pentachlorophenol, or penta, and creosote, are sold to industrial customers who use these preservatives primarily to extend the useful life of utility poles and railroad crossties. Its animal health pesticides are used on cattle, swine and poultry to protect these animals from flies and other pests.
Click image to enlarge

KMG Chemicals traded in a tight range for most of March and looks as if it may have formed a base near the 15-16 area before breaking to the upside. Short term it looks as if KMGB is a bit over extended, however I certainly won't be shorting it here. To play the momentum I would purchase shares on any weakness and set a tight trailing stop loss of about 4% - 7%. On weakness, I would need to see KMGB hold the 17.50 level two consecutive days in order to purchase shares.

This is a bullish strategy and should not be considered if you think the stock will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the stock could move higher in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

Disclosure: No Positions

Sphere: Related Content

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Economic Recession Unfolds in 10 Minutes

I made some changes to my original video and re-uploaded it to Youtube. It is much better quality and I really wanted the video to have the original music tracks: Money Talks by AC/DC, When the Levee Breaks by Led Zeppelin, Gimme Shelter by The Rolling Stones, You Ain't Seen Nothing Yet by Bachman-Turner Overdrive, Low Budget by The Kinks, and Blurry by Puddle of Mudd. Youtube hasn't disabled the sound yet (knock on wood) so watch it while you can and let me know what you think. The various songs used in this video are reserved by original artists. The pictures and news articles used in this video are reserved by original sites. Please comment rate and subscribe to my videos! Also if you'd please share this video I'd greatly appreciate it!

Sphere: Related Content

Happy Easter & Thanks Again

I thought I'd take a minute and thank all of my readers again for the great growth my blog has experienced over the past year. I Hope and plan to bring as many posts of interest in the months ahead. Thanks again, and happy Easter! Sphere: Related Content

Friday, April 2, 2010

It's a Crude Summer: 3 Energy ETF's, 3 Option Plays

The major indices traded higher across the board Thursday, helped manly by basic materials and energy. Natural gas and crude oil futures traded higher to close the session by 6.33% and 1.85% respectively. In this article I will outline why I believe it is time to get long some black gold and discuss how I will play the move using options.

United States Oil Fund (USO)
Before I get into any details, I would like to give an ETF summary from Google Finance and the 6 month (daily) chart below.
United States Oil Fund, LP [USOF] is a limited partnership. USOF is a commodity pool that issues limited partnership interests [units] traded on the NYSE Arca, Inc. (the NYSE Arca). The Company’s general partner is United States Commodity Funds LLC (the General Partner) and is responsible for the management of USOF. The investment objective of USOF is for the changes in percentage terms of its units’ net asset value [NAV] to reflect the changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the changes in the price of the futures contract on light, sweet crude oil traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (the NYMEX).
Click chart to enlarge
As we can see from the chart above USO has successfully broken and closed two consecutive days above the triangle pattern drawn in blue which is a bullish signal. Some resistance may come in around 41.50 - 42 per share, but I honestly believe we could easily see $100 per barrel by mid July so I think we will clear resistance setting new 52 week highs on this ETF.

USO Option Play: As stated I think we could see oil futures trade higher by 15 points or roughly 18% by mid July, therefore with the USO I am looking at opening July Vertical Call Spreads. Yes my prediction on crude oil translates into the ETF trading near 47-48 per share, however I must leave room for error. I would look at purchasing in-the-money July 40 Call options and immediately selling July 45 Call Options against them. As of current market data this spread could be opened for a theoretical price of $202 (plus any commissions) per call spread. This spread is currently in-the-money by 1.24 points so the premium paid for this spread is $78 or 78¢ per share; not too much considering there is over 100 days until the spread expires. If I were to get this spread I would look to take my first wave of profits if and when oil traded to $90 per barrel, then $95, and then $100. I would most likely take losses and stop out if oil trades near $78 and then $75 and try again if and when oil reestablishes an uptrend. If oil hits my target of $100 per barrel earlier than I expect such as by mid June, and we get a flashback of summer 2008 and every analyst on the street is slapping $150 - $200 price targets on oil, I would adjust my profit takes slightly, but remember three words we never hear an analyst say are: I was wrong...

ProSharesUltra DJ-AIG Crude Oil (UCO)
This is a leveraged ETF and should not be held for a long period of time, see my post Double and Triple Leveraged ETFs Revisited: The Real Decay to get a better understanding. Before I get into how I am looking at playing this ETF using options for a continued crude rally, I will give a summary of this ETF from ProShares and the chart below.
ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Crude Oil seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to twice (200%) the daily performance of the Dow Jones—UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index
Click chart to enlarge
UCO Option Play: Even though these leveraged ETF's decay with increased levels of volatility, I don't have a problem taking a bet on this ETF, because as stated multiple times already, I believe the trend for crude oil is up until mid July. As we can see from the chart above this ETF too has broken above the triangle pattern (drawn in blue) and closed two consecutive days. This chart predicts UCO trading to 15 and change in a very short period, therefore I have decided to structure a shorter term bet which will get me into this ETF for very slight premium. I would look at opening Vertical Call Spreads for the May option expiration. I would purchase May 13 strike call options and sell May 15 strike call options against them. Based on current market data this spread can be opened for a theoretical price of $80 per spread (plus any commissions). This ETF is currently trading at 13.65 which puts a premium of just over 1% on this spread. The best case scenario would be for this ETF to close and expire above 15 per share on May 21, 2010 which would result in a gain of 150% on the investment, however I rarely wait until expiration to close positions, therefore I would look to lighten up if and when crude works its way up to $90, and then $95 per barrel, and would most likely stop out and take losses if and when crude settled below $80 per barrel.

Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
This ETF is one of the most liquid energy related ETF's out there, and does not invest directly in commodities, but oil and gas related companies. For those unfamiliar with this fund, I have listed the top ten holdings and the chart below.

Company Ticker
ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM)
Chevron Corporation (CVX)
Schlumberger, Ltd. (SLB)
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
ConocoPhillips (COP)
Apache Corporation (APA)
Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC)
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN)
Halliburton Company (HAL)
XTO Energy, Inc. (XTO)

Click chart to enlarge
XLE Option Play: We can see from the chart above that a similar triangle pattern has emerged but has not yet been broken. Although the XLE has not broken and closed above it, I strongly believe it is only a matter of time before it follows the trend of the previous two ETF's discussed. I would like to see the XLE break and close two days above 59 per share, if and when it does, I will be looking at purchasing the June 30, 2010 60 strike call options (note these are the later of the two options which expire in June). Based on current market data the theoretical price is $180 per contract. This is actually the least volatile of the three ETF's discussed in this article, so although the speculation is the cheapest, the probability of having these calls payoff is also the lowest. If the triangle pattern is broken to the upside, the chart projects the XLE up to 63 per share on a short term basis. If I happen to get into these calls, I would look to cover some of my position by selling the 63 call options for the same expiration against the 60's (making the position into a vertical call spread) first if XLE traded to 60.50, then 61.50, and then to 63.

The ideas outlined above are bullish strategies and should not be considered if you think the ETF's will sell off in the near future. However if you feel the ETF's could move higher in the near future, this strategy could yield a nice gain.
To get a better understanding of stock options and different option strategies please check out my Simplified Stock Option Trading E-Books.

These are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you’ll want to adjust the strike price and expiration accordingly.

The reason option volumes have surged in the last five years is because they are a great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your shares (see chart here). Keep in mind when using this strategy it is essential that broker commissions are low enough to profit from the position.

Disclosure: Long UCO April 10 Calls, XLE June 59 Calls, Short UCO April 12 Calls, UCO April 13 Calls, XLE April 56 Puts

Sphere: Related Content

Hottest Blog Posts of All Time